Particulars (Rs. in Crores) | Q1FY23 | Q1FY22 | YoY | Q4FY22 | QoQ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue from Operations | 1293.31 | 866.22 | 49.30% | 1165.91 | 10.93% |
EBITDA | 267.22 | 159.08 | 67.98% | 291.80 | -8.42% |
EBITDA Margin (%) | 20.66% | 18.36% | 25.03% | ||
Profit After Tax | 118.79 | 31.27 | 279.88% | 136.97 | -13.27% |
PAT (%) | 9.18% | 3.61% | 11.75% | ||
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) | 50.06 | 13.18 | 279.82% | 57.73 | -13.29% |
Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research
Highlights for the quarter ended June 2022
During the quarter ended June 2022, the company posted decent set of numbers. The
topline increased ~11% QoQ to Rs. 1,293 crores. Shipments and tonnage increased
5 and 13%, respectively on QoQ basis and 50 and 51%, respectively on YoY basis due
to the base effect. Further, due to higher freight cost and employee costs on a
sequential basis, the EBITDA declined 8.4% QoQ to Rs. 267 crores and margin were
hit by ~440 bps QoQ to 20.7%. The bottom line was lower by 13.3% QoQ to Rs. 119
crores vs. Rs. 137 crores in Q4FY22.
With improved cash flows as a result of better receivable management, the company remains debt-free. Furthermore, in order to capitalise on growth opportunities and demand for higher capacities, the company has begun plans to expand its network. To meet increased demand for air capacity, the company plans to add two Boeing 737-800 freighter planes this fiscal year. The company plans to add more freighters in the future by expanding its network into Tier II cities based on load factors. Similarly, the company is expanding its ground hub and network to accommodate expected volume growth.
Key Conference Call Highlights
Blue Dart is South Asia's leading express and integrated transportation and distribution company, with a massive infrastructure/network across India, giving it a competitive advantage over existing domestic players and new entrants. The company's strong customer base across various industries such as e-commerce, BFSI, pharmaceuticals, consumer electronics, and others, as well as other factors such as GDP growth, Indian government's ambition to reach a USD 5 trillion economy, infrastructure development, and consumption growth, among others, are expected to keep the momentum in volume growth.
Further, it also undertakes price increase by considering inflation, currency dynamics, fuel cost fluctuations, and other regulatory & mandatory costs. In the express cargo industry, technology-led disruptions will continue to test the business models and Blue Dart’s ability to continue to innovate and meet the evolving customer requirements is expected to remain key over the long term.
At the CMP, the stock trades at 29x of FY25E earnings.
Particulars (Rs. in Crores) | Q1FY23 | Q1FY22 | YoY | Q4FY22 | QoQ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue from Operations | 1293.31 | 866.22 | 49.30% | 1165.91 | 10.93% |
Freight, Handling and Servicing Cost | 720.34 | 438.16 | 64.40% | 611.89 | |
Employee Cost | 215.92 | 192.95 | 11.90% | 165.48 | |
Other Expenses | 89.83 | 76.03 | 96.74 | ||
Total Expenses | 1026.09 | 707.14 | 874.11 | ||
EBITDA | 267.22 | 159.08 | 67.98% | 291.80 | -8.42% |
EBITDA Margin (%) | 20.66% | 18.36% | 25.03% | ||
Depreciation and Amortisation Expenses | 97.40 | 99.02 | 92.52 | ||
EBIT | 169.82 | 60.06 | 182.75% | 199.28 | -14.78% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 13.13% | 6.93% | 17.09% | ||
Finance Cost | 17.60 | 25.03 | 19.64 | ||
Other Income | 6.74 | 6.59 | 3.61 | ||
Profit/(Loss) Before Exceptional Items and Tax | 158.96 | 41.62 | 183.25 | ||
Exceptional Items | - | - | - | ||
Profit Before Tax | 158.96 | 41.62 | 281.93% | 183.25 | -13.26% |
Tax | 40.17 | 10.35 | 46.28 | ||
Effective Tax Rate (%) | 25.27% | 24.87% | 25.26% | ||
Profit After Tax | 118.79 | 31.27 | 279.88% | 136.97 | -13.27% |
PAT (%) | 9.18% | 3.61% | 11.75% | ||
Other Comprehensive Income | - | - | 7.08 | ||
Total Comprehensive Income | 118.79 | 31.27 | 144.05 | ||
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) | 50.06 | 13.18 | 279.82% | 57.73 | -13.29% |
Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research
Year End March (Rs. in Crores) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Sales | 3288.13 | 4410.49 | 4922.10 | 5493.06 | 6168.57 |
Expenditure | |||||
Employee Cost | 729.03 | 765.43 | 817.07 | 884.38 | 962.30 |
Other Expenses | 1872.81 | 2645.27 | 3041.86 | 3394.71 | 3812.18 |
EBITDA | 686.29 | 999.79 | 1063.17 | 1213.97 | 1394.10 |
EBITDA Margin | 20.87% | 22.67% | 21.60% | 22.10% | 22.60% |
Depreciation & Amortization | 430.00 | 395.37 | 404.58 | 442.91 | 479.23 |
EBIT | 256.29 | 604.42 | 658.59 | 771.05 | 951.88 |
EBIT Margin % | 7.79% | 13.70% | 13.38% | 14.04% | 15.43% |
Other Income | 20.30 | 30.79 | 29.53 | 32.96 | 37.01 |
Interest & Finance Charges | 110.95 | 86.97 | 70.00 | 60.00 | 50.00 |
Profit Before Tax - Before Exceptional | 165.64 | 548.24 | 618.12 | 744.01 | 901.88 |
Profit Before Tax | 139.79 | 512.29 | 618.12 | 744.01 | 901.88 |
Tax Expense | 37.98 | 130.08 | 156.95 | 188.92 | 229.00 |
Effective Tax rate | 22.93% | 23.73% | 25.39% | 25.39% | 25.39% |
Exceptional Items | -25.85 | -35.95 | - | - | - |
Consolidated Net Profit | 101.81 | 382.21 | 461.17 | 555.09 | 672.88 |
Net Profit Margin after MI | 3.10% | 8.67% | 9.37% | 10.11% | 10.91% |
As of March (Rs. in Crores) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Share Capital | 23.76 | 23.76 | 23.76 | 23.76 | 23.76 |
Total Reserves | 568.20 | 848.23 | 1147.99 | 1508.80 | 1946.17 |
Shareholders' Funds | 591.96 | 871.99 | 1171.75 | 1532.56 | 1969.93 |
Non Current Liabilities | |||||
Long Term Burrowing | 245.00 | - | - | - | - |
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities | 731.77 | 19.03 | 19.03 | 19.03 | 19.03 |
Current Liabilities | - | ||||
Short Term Borrowings | - | 200.00 | - | - | - |
Trade Payables | 509.41 | 579.87 | 576.23 | 599.23 | 638.99 |
Other Current Liabilities | 781.16 | 492.91 | 492.91 | 492.91 | 492.91 |
Total Equity & Liabilities | 3611.26 | 2828.76 | 2924.88 | 3308.69 | 3785.82 |
Assets | - | ||||
Net Block | 1583.18 | 1436.87 | 1400.29 | 1226.36 | 1016.12 |
Current Assets | |||||
Currents Investments | 150.07 | 207.39 | 457.39 | 757.39 | 1157.39 |
Inventories | 31.78 | 34.99 | 38.35 | 42.80 | 47.92 |
Sundry Debtors | 517.92 | 580.01 | 580.80 | 648.18 | 725.75 |
Cash and Bank | 310.52 | 184.33 | 132.00 | 317.92 | 522.60 |
Total Assets | 3611.26 | 2828.76 | 2924.88 | 3308.69 | 3785.82 |
Year End March (Rs. in Crores) | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profit After Tax | 101.81 | 382.21 | 461.17 | 555.09 | 672.88 |
Depreciation | 430.00 | 395.37 | 404.58 | 442.91 | 479.23 |
Changes in Working Capital | 88.62 | 24.46 | -7.80 | -48.82 | -42.93 |
Cash From Operating Activities | 750.18 | 859.79 | 857.95 | 949.18 | 1109.17 |
Purchase of Fixed Assets | -160.60 | -174.56 | -298.87 | -268.98 | -268.98 |
Free Cash Flows | 589.58 | 685.23 | 559.08 | 680.20 | 840.19 |
Others | -368.55 | 181.77 | -250.00 | -300.00 | -400.00 |
Cash Flow from Investing Activities | -528.98 | 11.31 | -548.87 | -568.98 | -668.98 |
Increase / (Decrease) in Loan Funds | 65.00 | -395.00 | -200.00 | - | - |
Equity Dividend Paid | - | -94.91 | -161.41 | -194.28 | -235.51 |
Cash from Financing Activities | -235.20 | -772.06 | -361.41 | -194.28 | -235.51 |
Net Cash Inflow / Outflow | -14.00 | 99.04 | -52.33 | 185.92 | 204.68 |
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents | 97.51 | 83.51 | 182.55 | 130.22 | 316.14 |
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalent | 83.51 | 182.55 | 130.22 | 316.14 | 520.82 |
Year End March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Basic EPS | 42.90 | 161.08 | 194.36 | 233.94 | 283.58 |
Cash EPS | 224.10 | 327.71 | 364.87 | 420.60 | 81.61 |
DPS | 15.00 | 60.00 | 68.03 | 81.88 | 99.25 |
Book value (Rs/share) | 249.44 | 367.50 | 493.83 | 645.89 | 830.22 |
ROCE (%) Post Tax | 31.83% | 66.55% | 61.34% | 59.46% | 54.35% |
ROE (%) | 18.81% | 52.22% | 45.13% | 41.05% | 38.42% |
PE | 129.93 | 42.60 | 42.70 | 35.48 | 29.27 |
P/BV | 22.35 | 18.67 | 16.81 | 12.85 | 10.00 |
EV/EBITDA | 19.47 | 16.30 | 18.40 | 15.34 | 12.92 |
Dividend Yield (%) | 0.27% | 0.87% | 0.82% | 0.99% | 1.20% |
P/Sales | 4.02 | 3.69 | 4.00 | 3.59 | 3.19 |
Net debt/Equity | 0.23 | 0.02 | - | - | - |
Net Debt/ EBITDA | 0.20 | 0.02 | -0.12 | -0.89 | -1.21 |
Sales/Net FA (x) | 2.02 | 2.92 | 3.47 | 4.18 | 5.50 |