StockAxis

Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd

Quarterly Result - Q1YFY23

Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd

Hotel, Resort & Restaurants

Current

CMP
Rs. 75
Rating:
Hold
Target
Rs. 86
August 02, 2022

Previous

Rating:
Hold
Target
Rs. 89

Stock Info

BSE
541233
NSE
LEMONTREE
Bloomberg
LEMONTRE:IN
Reuters
LEMO.NS
Sector
Hotel, Resort & Restaurants
Face Value (Rs)
10
Equity Capital (Rs cr)
791
Mkt Cap (Rs cr)
5922.04
52w H/L (Rs)
71.45 - 36.00
Avg Daily Vol (BSE+NSE)
3,100,223

Shareholding Pattern

(as on 30-Jun)
%
Promoter
23.93
FIIs
27.90
DIIs
11.42
Public & Others
36.75
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Price performance

Return (%)
1m
3m
12m
Absolute
5.53
1.12
66.87
Sensex
9.21
2.04
9.79
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Indexed Stock Performance

Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd Sensex
Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd
Source: Ace equity, StockAxis Research

Financial Highlights:

Particulars (Rs. in Crores) Q1FY23 Q1FY22 YoY Q4FY22 QoQ
Revenue from Operations 192.04 42.15 355.57% 119.54 60.60%
Operating Revenue 87.59 -0.08 - 21.59 305.72%
Operating % 45.61% -0.19% 18.06%
Net Loss/Profit 13.58 -59.81 - -39.16 -
Net Margin % 7.07% -141.88% -32.76%
EPS 0.18 -0.51 - -0.31 -

Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research

Highlights for the quarter ended June 2022
During the quarter ended June 2022, the company saw recovery in the business led by continued traction in corporate and leisure travel. The total revenue increased 4.6x YoY and 60.6% QoQ to Rs. 192 crores. The occupancy for the quarter was 65.1% vs. 46.1% in Q4FY22 (29.6% in Q1FY22). ARR was higher by 18% QoQ to Rs. 4,822 vs. Rs. 4,093 (Rs. 2,362 in Q1FY22). RevPAR also witnessed a growth of 66% QoQ to Rs. 3,138 vs. Rs. 1,888 in Q4FY22 (Rs. 700 in Q1FY22).

Lemon Tree Hotels
Lemon Tree Hotels

Operating revenue for the company was Rs. 87.6 crores vs. Rs. 21.6 crores in Q4FY22, up ~4x QoQ. Operating margin was 45.6% vs. ~18% in Q4FY22, supported by permanent cost rationalisation, lower stamp duty expenses related to amalgamation of Meringue Hotels, Begonia Hotels, and Nightingale Hotels with Fleur Hotels and lower other expenses. Further, despite lower other income and higher taxes, the company’s PAT stood at Rs. 13.6 crores vs. ~Rs. 39 crores losses in Q4FY22.

Key Conference Call Highlights

  • The growth in topline was led by business travel. The quarter witnessed higher demand from MICE which supported the growth. ARR was the highest ever since listing and 20% higher than the pre-covid levels. On full inventory, the occupancy was 65.1% in Q1FY23.
  • During the quarter, LTH signed new hotels in Vishakhapatnam, Malad, Jaipur, Assam, and Kharar. Further, it operationalized a Keys hotel in Tapovan.
  • In Delhi, Hyderabad, Bengaluru, and Mumbai, occupancy increased to 73%, 73%, 76%, and 74%, respectively. However, in Gurugram, the occupancy was lower at 57%, which as per the management, is expected to increase in H2FY22.
  • The lower occupancy of 37% in Aurika was due to the unrest in Udaipur and the higher room rate of more than Rs. 11,000. With the similar rates, the occupancy is expected to improve in coming quarters.
  • Keys hotels in Bangalore and Pune have recovered, with occupancy in the 70-80% range. However, the occupancy In Kerala, Ludhiana, and Vizag were laggards because they are being renovated. Keys hotel occupancy is expected to be in the 65-70% range in FY23 and account for around 18% of the portfolio.
  • Staff to Room cost was at 0.63x in Q1FY23, which as per the management could sustain at 0.66x going forward, compared to 0.95x in FY20. However, cost per employee has increased by 15%. Further, LTH has redesigned and fine-tuned the menu to reduce the food cost from 9% to 6%.
  • Currently, Lemon Tree Mountain Resort, with 69 rooms and Aurika, Mumbai International Airport with 669 rooms is under construction and the total capex for the same is expected to be Rs. 1,000 crores and as of June 2022, the capex of 440 crores has been spent. Aurika MAIL is expected to be complete and could open for operations from the end of CY23 with the expected ARR of Rs. 12,000.
  • The debt of the LTH has marginally come down from ~Rs. 1,700 crores as of March 2022 to ~Rs. 1,690 crores as of June 2022. In the next 4-5 years, the company is looking for the debt-free position.
  • LTH closed Redfox hotel in Chandigarh (102 rooms) due to contractual disagreements with the landlord. As a result, the lease was terminated in May 2022. Furthermore, one more hotel in Goa (130 rooms) was closed because the landlord refused to renovate the hotel as per the LTH standards.

Outlook & valuation

The strong Q1FY23 performance was in-line with our expectations. We believe, growth in corporate and leisure travel would further support the growth of the company in medium-to-long term. The growth would be further supported by higher ARRs and higher occupancy rate. Further, the cost rationalisation would aid the operating margins along with higher operating leverage. Further, the management believes the good demand visibility for the industry in next 3-5 years. The favourable demand-supply scenario would aid the higher ARRs and would help the overall industry and the LTH business.

At the CMP of 68, the stock trades at 15.4x of FY24E EV/EBITDA.

Quarterly Financials

Particulars (Rs. in Crores) Q1FY23 Q1FY22 YoY Q4FY22 QoQ
Revenue from Operations 192.04 42.15 355.57% 119.54 60.60%
Direct Costs 11.60 3.20 8.41
Gross Revenue 180.44 38.95 363.23% 111.13 62.37%
Gross % 93.96% 92.41% 92.96%
Employee Costs 34.54 17.41 28.84
Power & Fuel 17.99 7.58 11.19
Stamp Duty 4.78 - 15.25
Others 35.55 14.04 34.26
Operating Revenue 87.59 -0.08 - 21.59 305.72%
Operating % 45.61% -0.19% 18.06%
Depreciation & Amortization 24.50 26.16 26.52
Net Finance Cost 42.91 43.17 42.41
Other Income 0.25 2.13 7.63
Net (Loss)/Profit Before Tax & Share of Associates 20.43 -67.28 -39.72
Share of Associates 0.27 -0.07 0.29
Profit Before Tax 20.70 -67.35 - -39.43 -
Taxes 7.13 -7.54 -0.27
Net Loss/Profit 13.58 -59.81 - -39.16 -
Net Margin % 7.07% -141.88% -32.76%
EPS 0.18 -0.51 - -0.31 -

Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research

Consolidated Financial statements

Profit & Loss statement

Year End March (Rs. in Crores) 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E
Net Sales 669.44 251.72 402.24 736.73 966.51
Expenditure
Material Cost 56.97 17.84 27.85 47.33 57.26
Employee Cost 155.32 70.39 97.32 158.40 202.97
Other Expenses 213.72 102.22 158.41 189.34 248.39
EBITDA 243.42 61.27 118.66 341.66 457.89
EBITDA Margin 36.36% 24.34% 29.50% 46.38% 47.38%
Depreciation & Amortization 92.25 107.55 104.35 107.45 114.76
EBIT 151.18 -46.28 14.32 234.21 343.12
EBIT Margin % 22.58% -18.39% 3.56% 31.79% 35.50%
Other Income 10.87 21.99 14.03 25.79 33.83
Interest & Finance Charges 161.56 190.46 173.98 179.81 189.06
Profit Before Tax 0.49 -214.75 -145.63 80.19 187.89
Tax Expense 10.88 -32.20 -7.23 16.84 39.46
Effective Tax rate 2220.85% 15.00% 4.96% 21.00% 21.00%
Net Profit -13.05 -186.54 -137.36 63.35 148.43
Net Profit Margin -1.95% -74.11% -34.15% 8.60% 15.36%

Balance Sheet

As of March (Rs. in Crores) 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E
Share Capital 790.31 790.42 790.81 790.81 790.81
Total Reserves 198.57 127.16 40.44 103.78 252.22
Shareholders' Funds 1544.76 1534.97 1398.88 1462.23 1610.66
Non Current Liabilities
Long Term Borrowing 1450.90 1513.51 1553.49 1653.49 1733.49
Current Liabilities
Short Term Borrowings 59.58 59.56 145.16 145.16 145.16
Trade Payables 84.22 78.75 58.51 95.49 111.99
Total Equity & Liabilities 3758.37 3778.16 3635.03 3835.36 4080.30
Assets
Net Block 3304.75 3191.45 3049.23 3191.78 3327.02
Current Assets
Currents Investments 4.41 0.91 5.95 5.95 5.95
Inventories 8.22 7.22 8.12 9.36 9.80
Sundry Debtors 50.27 30.82 29.06 42.39 63.38
Cash and Bank 40.82 141.14 54.29 97.50 185.76
Total Assets 3758.37 3778.16 3635.04 3835.36 4080.30

Cash Flow Statement

Year End March (Rs. in Crores) 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E
Profit After Tax -10.39 -182.55 -138.40 63.35 148.43
Depreciation 92.25 107.55 104.35 107.45 114.76
Changes in Working Capital -96.71 -32.39 2.75 22.41 -4.93
Cash From Operating Activities 150.99 41.01 135.30 193.21 258.27
Purchase of Fixed Assets -644.49 -70.44 -67.55 -250.00 -250.00
Free Cash Flows -493.50 -29.43 67.75 -56.79 8.27
Cash Flow from Investing Activities -608.23 -65.59 -61.30 -250.00 -250.00
Increase / (Decrease) in Loan Funds 241.46 59.77 13.39 100.00 80.00
Cash from Financing Activities 456.67 111.22 -163.02 100.00 80.00
Net Cash Inflow / Outflow -0.56 86.64 -89.02 43.21 88.27
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents 31.40 40.82 127.46 54.29 97.50
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalent 40.82 127.46 54.29 97.50 185.76

Key Ratios

Year End March 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E
Basic EPS -0.16 -2.34 -1.73 0.80 1.87
Diluted EPS -0.16 -2.34 -1.73 0.80 1.87
Cash EPS (Rs) 1.00 -0.99 -0.42 2.16 3.32
Book value (Rs/share) 19.44 19.28 17.66 18.46 20.33
ROCE (%) 5.89% -0.79% 0.91% 8.18% 11.17%
ROE (%) -0.92% -12.11% -9.36% 4.43% 9.66%
PE -383.82 -26.86 -36.29 85.04 36.29
P/BV 3.26 3.29 3.59 3.68 3.34
EV/EBITDA 26.90 107.58 56.19 20.75 15.45
P/Sales 7.53 20.05 12.49 7.31 5.57
Net debt/Equity 0.98 1.01 1.18 1.16 1.05
Net Debt/ EBITDA 6.20 25.19 13.86 4.98 3.68
Sales/Net FA (x) 0.27 0.08 0.13 0.24 0.30