Tarsons posted revenue of INR69cr (down 1% YoY and 19% QoQ), mainly due to a decline in domestic business with the erosion of Covid business and normalisation of conventional business. Gross margin contracted 290 bps YoY to 79.1% on higher input cost due to geo-political tension and supply chain disruption as well as an adverse change in product mix. However, margin improved 140 bps sequentially. EBITDA at INR31cr (down 15% YoY and 30% QoQ)
EBITDA margin shrank 780 bps YoY and 680 bps QoQ to 45.4%, mainly due to higher employee cost as a result of employee addition to support future growth (up 100 bps YoY) and higher other expense due to increased travel and participation in fairs and exhibitions (up 390 bps YoY). PAT stood at INR20cr down 18% YoY and 31% QoQ.
Concall highlights
Tarsons has built a recognized brand in the domestic market with strong market share of 9-12% in India. The company is well placed to capture the growth arising from shift from glassware to plastic ware, growth for end users and, continued gains for domestic manufacturers among others. There is a respectable import market for the company to capture and also a huge export opportunity arising from the “China plus one” strategy. The stock is currently trading at 36.8x FY25E EPS.
Particulars (Rs. in Crores) | Q1FY23 | Q1FY22 | YoY | Q4FY22 | QoQ | FY22 | FY21 | Y-o-Y |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue from Operations | 68.63 | 69.15 | -0.75% | 84.94 | -19.20% | 300.79 | 228.91 | 31.40% |
COGS | 14.35 | 12.44 | 18.98 | 62.90 | 61.51 | |||
Gross Profit | 54.28 | 56.71 | -4.29% | 65.96 | -17.71% | 237.89 | 167.41 | 42.10% |
Gross Margin (%) | 79.09% | 82.01% | 77.65% | 79.09% | 73.13% | |||
Employee Benefit Expenses | 8.26 | 7.62 | 8.60 | 31.41 | 24.44 | |||
Other Expenses | 14.88 | 12.33 | 13.02 | 53.79 | 39.53 | |||
EBITDA | 31.14 | 36.76 | -15.30% | 44.34 | -29.77% | 152.70 | 103.44 | 47.62% |
EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.37% | 53.16% | 52.20% | 50.77% | 45.19% | |||
Depreciation | 6.14 | 4.57 | 7.24 | 21.96 | 13.66 | |||
EBIT | 25.00 | 32.20 | -22.35% | 37.10 | -32.61% | 130.74 | 89.78 | 45.63% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 36.43% | 46.56% | 43.68% | 43.46% | 39.22% | |||
Finance Cost | 0.43 | 0.83 | 0.45 | 4.22 | 2.72 | |||
Oher Income | 2.69 | 1.98 | 2.58 | 8.47 | 5.38 | |||
Profit Before Exceptional Items & Tax | 27.26 | 33.34 | 39.22 | 134.99 | 92.43 | |||
Profit Before Tax | 27.26 | 33.34 | -18.23% | 39.22 | -30.49% | 134.99 | 92.43 | 46.04% |
Tax | 6.95 | 8.51 | 9.76 | 34.33 | 23.56 | |||
Effective Tax Rate (%) | 25.50% | 25.51% | 24.89% | 25.43% | 25.49% | |||
Profit After Tax | 20.31 | 24.84 | -18.22% | 29.46 | -31.07% | 100.66 | 68.87 | 46.17% |
PAT Margin (%) | 29.59% | 35.91% | 34.69% | 33.47% | 30.09% | |||
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) | 3.82 | 4.88 | -21.72% | 5.69 | -32.86% | 19.46 | 13.43 | 44.90% |
Source: Company Filings; StockAxis Research
Yr End March (Rs Cr) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Sales | 178.70 | 175.90 | 228.90 | 300.80 | 320.00 | 355.00 | 405.00 |
Expenditure | |||||||
Material Cost | 61.70 | 57.90 | 72.70 | 62.90 | 91.20 | 95.90 | 112.20 |
Employee Cost | 16.10 | 20.10 | 24.40 | 31.40 | 33.20 | 45.00 | 46.00 |
Other Expenses | 29.30 | 28.70 | 28.30 | 53.20 | 41.30 | 40.50 | 46.20 |
EBITDA | 71.70 | 69.30 | 103.40 | 153.20 | 154.30 | 173.70 | 200.60 |
EBITDA Margin | 40.10% | 39.40% | 45.20% | 50.90% | 48.20% | 48.90% | 50.00% |
Depreciation & Amortization | 14.60 | 14.20 | 13.70 | 22.00 | 31.00 | 40.00 | 45.00 |
EBIT | 57.10 | 55.10 | 89.80 | 131.30 | 123.30 | 133.70 | 165.60 |
EBIT Margin % | 31.90% | 31.30% | 39.20% | 43.60% | 38.50% | 37.70% | 40.90% |
Other Income | 6.00 | 4.20 | 5.40 | 8.50 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 |
Interest & Finance Charges | 7.20 | 6.10 | 2.70 | 4.20 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
Profit Before Tax - Before Exceptional | 55.80 | 53.10 | 92.40 | 135.50 | 128.30 | 141.70 | 163.60 |
Profit Before Tax | 55.80 | 53.10 | 92.40 | 135.50 | 128.30 | 141.70 | 164.60 |
Tax Expense | 16.90 | 12.60 | 23.60 | 34.50 | 33.10 | 35.70 | 41.20 |
Effective Tax rate | 30.20% | 23.70% | 25.50% | 25.40% | 25.80% | 25.20% | 25.00% |
Net Profit | 39.00 | 40.50 | 68.90 | 101.10 | 95.20 | 106.00 | 123.40 |
Net Profit Margin | 21.80% | 23.00% | 30.10% | 33.60% | 29.80% | 29.90% | 30.00% |
Yr End March (Rs Cr) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Share Capital | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 10.60 | 10.60 | 10.60 | 10.60 |
Total Reserves | 135.10 | 197.40 | 244.10 | 479.20 | 567.70 | 666.30 | 781.20 |
Shareholders' Funds | 135.30 | 197.60 | 244.30 | 489.80 | 578.40 | 677.00 | 791.80 |
Non Current Liabilities | |||||||
Long Term Burrowing | 18.70 | 5.90 | 3.30 | 9.30 | 20.30 | 30.30 | 42.30 |
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities | 3.90 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 4.40 | 4.40 |
Current Liabilities | - | ||||||
Short Term Borrowings | 36.30 | 18.80 | 23.10 | 12.30 | 12.30 | 12.30 | 12.30 |
Trade Payables | 2.00 | 5.90 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 6.00 | 15.70 | 9.40 |
Other Current Liabilities | 13.50 | 14.70 | 11.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 | 8.20 |
Short Term Provisions | 2.20 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
Total Equity & Liabilities | 212.00 | 248.70 | 296.00 | 544.20 | 636.80 | 755.10 | 875.60 |
Assets | - | ||||||
Net Block | 89.00 | 92.00 | 120.40 | 188.50 | 407.50 | 467.50 | 572.50 |
Non Current Investments | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Long Term Loans & Advances | 18.80 | 17.50 | 40.40 | 8.40 | 8.40 | 8.40 | 8.40 |
Current Assets | |||||||
Currents Investments | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories | 46.40 | 48.70 | 46.70 | 82.40 | 51.00 | 97.10 | 70.80 |
Sundry Debtors | 44.60 | 38.20 | 47.00 | 65.20 | 45.10 | 67.50 | 61.40 |
Cash and Bank | 0.90 | 26.30 | 3.10 | 85.80 | 11.10 | 1.00 | 50.80 |
Short Term Loans and Advances | 3.50 | 4.80 | 9.80 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
Total Assets | 212.00 | 248.70 | 296.00 | 544.20 | 636.70 | 755.00 | 875.60 |
Yr End March (Rs Cr) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profit After Tax | 39.00 | 40.50 | 68.90 | 101.10 | 95.20 | 106.00 | 123.40 |
Depreciation | 14.60 | 14.20 | 13.70 | 22.00 | 31.00 | 40.00 | 45.00 |
Changes in Working Capital | -8.80 | 6.40 | -16.00 | -46.80 | 44.50 | -58.70 | 27.00 |
Cash From Operating Activities | 51.30 | 64.20 | 68.20 | 76.20 | 170.70 | 87.30 | 196.40 |
Purchase of Fixed Assets | -33.90 | -26.00 | -61.90 | -90.00 | -250.00 | -100.00 | -150.00 |
Free Cash Flows | 17.40 | 38.20 | 6.30 | -13.80 | -79.30 | -12.70 | 46.40 |
Cash Flow from Investing Activities | -33.60 | -25.40 | -63.90 | -90.00 | -250.00 | -100.00 | -150.00 |
Increase / (Decrease) in Loan Funds | -29.50 | -11.40 | -6.80 | -11.80 | 11.00 | 10.00 | 11.00 |
Equity Dividend Paid | - | - | - | -7.10 | -6.70 | -7.40 | -8.60 |
Cash from Financing Activities | -18.20 | -13.80 | -27.20 | -18.90 | 13.40 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
Net Cash Inflow / Outflow | -0.50 | 25.00 | -23.00 | -32.70 | -65.90 | -10.10 | 49.90 |
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents | 1.00 | 0.50 | 25.30 | 2.30 | 174.10 | 230.60 | 1.00 |
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalent | 0.50 | 25.30 | 2.30 | 174.10 | 230.60 | 317.00 | 50.80 |
Yr End March | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Basic EPS | 2029.10 | 2026.60 | 13.50 | 19.00 | 17.90 | 19.90 | 23.20 |
Diluted EPS | 2029.10 | 2026.60 | 13.50 | 19.00 | 17.90 | 19.90 | 23.20 |
Cash EPS (Rs) | 2787.60 | 2735.10 | 16.20 | 23.10 | 23.70 | 27.40 | 31.50 |
DPS | - | - | - | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
Book value (Rs/share) | 7045.50 | 9878.50 | 48.00 | 92.10 | 108.70 | 127.20 | 148.80 |
ROCE (%) Post Tax | 46.30% | 21.90% | 28.80% | 26.60% | 17.40% | 16.20% | 16.00% |
ROE (%) | 28.80% | 20.50% | 28.20% | 20.60% | 16.50% | 16.90% | 17.00% |
Inventory Days | 47.00 | 99.00 | 76.00 | 78.00 | 76.00 | 76.00 | 76.00 |
Receivable Days | 46.00 | 86.00 | 68.00 | 68.00 | 63.00 | 58.00 | 58.00 |
Payable Days | 2.00 | 8.00 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 11.00 |
PE | - | - | 57.70 | 36.30 | 47.70 | 42.90 | 36.80 |
P/BV | - | - | 16.30 | 7.50 | 7.90 | 6.70 | 5.70 |
EV/EBITDA | 0.90 | 0.10 | 38.70 | 23.50 | 29.60 | 26.40 | 22.70 |
Dividend Yield (%) | - | - | 0.00% | 0.20% | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.20% |
P/Sales | - | - | 17.40 | 12.20 | 14.20 | 12.80 | 11.20 |
Net debt/Equity | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.10 | - | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
Net Debt/ EBITDA | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.30 | -0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
Sales/Net FA (x) | 4.00 | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.90 | 1.10 | 0.80 | 0.80 |